Sanborn — Winni Waterfront Sales Report - September 2015

September was a banner month for Winnipesaukee waterfront sales with a total of 27 transactions at an average sales price of $916,660 and a median price point of $675,000. All but six of those sales were mainland sales and there were ten sales over the million dollar mark. Last September there were just 14 sales. This brings our total number of sales on Winnipesaukee to 127 so far this year at an average price of $1,087,481 compared to 93 at an average price of $1,104,983 for the same period in 2014. That's a 37 percent increase in waterfront sales on the big lake. Pretty outstanding!

The entry level sale once again was an island property at 556 Rattlesnake Island in Alton. This 1971 vintage, four room, two bedroom cottage has 700 square feet of open concept living space, cathedral ceilings, pine paneling, and lots of glass on the waterside to enjoy the view. There's a wrap around deck, another deck down by the water, and a 6' x 30' dock. There's even a fire pit so you can keep a blaze going to ward off the rattlesnakes at night. That's a must on Rattlesnake Island. The cottage sits on a .9 acre lot with 149' of sandy bottom frontage that gets sun all day long. This property was listed at $325,000, was reduced to $299,000, and sold for $264,000 after just 58 days on the market. It is assessed at $251,500.

The median price point sale was at 41 Spindle Point Road in Meredith. This five room, two bedroom, 676 square foot cottage was built in 1955 on a .55 acre lot with 300 feet of westerly facing frontage and a U-Shaped seasonal dock. There was little info in the MLS and no pictures of the interior so this sale was likely all about the lot. It sold at full price at $675,000 in just five days and is currently assessed for $660,300.

The big dog for the month was over at 107 Clay Point in Alton. This spectacular home was built in 2008 and has 5,293 square feet of living space with four bedrooms, two full, and two three quarter baths. This property has all the quality and features that one would expect at this price point. There is a two story great room with hardwood floors and a floor to ceiling fireplace, stunning kitchen with custom cabinetry, granite, and Viking appliances, formal dining room, first floor master suite, and comfortable family room. Outside there are huge porches overlooking manicured lawns, gardens, and spectacular sunset views across the lake. There's 150' of frontage providing plenty of space for a 23' x 44' boat house and a 36' slip with protective breakwater. This home originally sold for $3.2 million when it was built and was listed in April of this year for $3.8 million. It was reduced to $3.499 million and then sold at $3.275 million after 120 days on the market. It is currently assessed at $3.337 million. I think I could live there...

Over on Winnisquam there was just one sale at 17 Lakeside Ave in Sanbornton. This is a forties vintage, four bedroom, two bath home with 2,886 square feet of living space so there's plenty of room for everyone to come on those long summer weekends. The house has an eat-in kitchen, formal dining room, living room and family room, two fireplaces and a covered porch to sit an tell stories on. It sits on a quarter acre lot with 85' of frontage and broad sunrise views. This property was listed at $499,900 and sold for $492,000 after 50 days on the market. It is assessed at $527,320.

P​ease feel free to visit to learn more about the Lakes Region real estate market and comment on this article and others. Data compiled using the NNEREN MLS system as of 10/12/15. ​Roy Sanborn is a sales associate at Four Seasons Sotheby's International Realty and can be reached at 603-677-7012.

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Froma Harrop - Democrats have become the party of 'normal'

Who "won" the Democratic debate? The Democratic Party won. All the presidential candidates, from the most flamboyant to the most contained, talked seriously about issues, even straying from liberal orthodoxy.
Hillary Clinton's upbeat morning-in-America approach contrasted with Bernie Sanders' eve-of-destruction — I mean revolution. But both stood grounded in reality, with special kudos to America's favorite socialist for some refreshing breaths of nuance on polarizing issues.
Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich — not a crazy Republican but one who often talked crazy -- once called Democrats "the enemy of normal Americans". Who's looking normal now?
Surely not Republican Carly Fiorina, condemning abortion with a gruesome description of a fabricated video she never saw. Not Ben Carson or Rand Paul, who, despite being doctors, didn't strenuously counter Donald Trump's contention that vaccinations put children at risk. Trump doesn't seem normal even when he's right.
The consensus said that Clinton walked off with it. She did, but it was an ensemble performance. Sanders struck the high note by mocking the overblown controversy over Clinton's use of private e-mails as secretary of state.
"The American people are sick and tired of hearing about your damn e-mails," Sanders said. "Let's talk about the real issues facing America."
And the Democrats generally dived under the surface of today's public debates. Clinton chided Sanders for his skepticism on some gun control measures, but Sanders had it exactly right. He explained that his state, Vermont, has a rural hunting culture that doesn't see guns as always evil. Sanders backed a ban on assault rifles but opposed letting gun shops be sued if a gun they sell legally is used in a crime. Common sense all around.
The immigration discussion offered a welcome balance between the need to deal humanely with people here illegally and the need for controls. Sanders defended his attack on an immigration plan that would have admitted huge numbers of "guest workers" to compete with low-wage Americans. If only more Democrats would talk that way.
Former Sen. Jim Webb of Virginia spoke up for struggling poor whites, another welcome reference in a party that too often frames policy in racial or ethnic terms. And thank you, Jim Webb, for saying, "No country is a country without defining its borders."
All in all, though, it was Clinton's show. Responding to Sanders' declaration of love for Scandinavian socialism, Clinton firmly replied: "We are the United States of America. And it's our job to rein in the excesses of capitalism so that it doesn't run amok and doesn't cause the kind of inequities that we're seeing in our economic system."
The consensus erred in naming Webb the evening's "loser". The former Navy secretary did great in his seething, quiet way. He steered the debate away from cloying political correctness. This very smart son of Appalachia would make a great vice presidential candidate.
Few noticed that Webb provided the wittiest remark of the evening. That came when he dryly informed Sanders that he doesn't "think the revolution's going to come."
The most unintentionally funny line was from CNN moderator Anderson Cooper.
"In all candor," Cooper said to Clinton, "you and your husband are part of the 1 percent. How can you credibly represent the views of the middle class?"
To borrow from the MasterCard ad, being questioned about losing credibility on matters of class because you've become rich: $2.03. Being so questioned by the son of a Vanderbilt: priceless.
Clinton is clearly moving on from intra-party debate to general election mode. The other candidates seemed to genuinely respect that pivot and gave her space.
How gratifying to hear a leading presidential candidate sound like a normal American and not get punished for it.

(A member of the Providence Journal editorial board, Froma Harrop writes a nationally syndicated column from that city. She has written for such diverse publications as The New York Times, Harper's Bazaar and Institutional Investor.)

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E. Scott Cracraft - Innocent vs. willful ignorance

In the U.S.A. we have been (rightfully) socialized to believe that "all men (and women) are created equal. Some, however, seem to believe that it follows that all ideas and opinions are created equal. This is not the case. Some who make statements and cannot back them up with empirical evidence believe that they should have "equal time" with those who can. It depends on the circumstances, of course, but in many cases, not all opinions are the same and different opinions should be given different weight.
Some even cry "persecution" if someone challenges them. For example, there are those who cry that they are being persecuted or that their 1st Amendment rights are being violated every time someone does not agree with them. It is okay to criticize people with whom one disagrees, whether they are from the Right or the Left. Moreover, anyone has the freedom to express his or herself but when you express something, you should expect some not to agree with you and to say so!
There has been a lot of misinformation and disinformation going around. Misinformation is forgivable. It just means that someone has the wrong information. Others, however, knowingly pass around false information knowing that it is false. That is disinformation.
A good example is the "Big Lie" propaganda used by the Nazis. Josef Goebbels, Hitler's minister of Information and Propaganda realized that the Germans were smart people. You cannot tell a lot of little lies to intelligent, educated people and the Germans were some of the most educated and "civilized" people in Europe. Have you ever known a pathological liar? Surely, we have all told lies at some point (perhaps to stay out of trouble with a parent or a teacher). The pathological liar, however, lies even when there is not a "reason". They are easy to "out" because they cover up layers of lies with other lies.
On the other hand, when you are dealing with smart folks, thought Dr. Goebbels, it is important to tell a few BIG lies, tell them over and over, and have them told by people who are supposed to know what they are talking about. Then, you can get even educated people to believe them.
One cannot help but think of some of our conservatives who cry "wolf" when there is no wolf. For example, the opinion that somehow President Obama, in spite of all evidence to the contrary, is not a native-born U.S.A. does not deserve equal time with the fact that he IS. Or, what about those "death panels" that were supposed to be on page # 425 of Obamacare? Obamacare has been in effect for several years now. How many of you have had a parent or grandparent appear before such a panel?
Or, what about the myth that Obama was coming to seize your guns? Has that happened? No, but a lot of gun sales were made because of that Big Lie!
Another one is that our president is a radical Muslim. In a sadly funny way, some of the same people making that accusation were criticizing him several years ago for something his CHRISTIAN minister said!
Then, there are the climate-change deniers and the anti-vaccination folks, some of whom have written letters to The Sun. It is hard to be sure if these people are innocently or willfully ignorant considering the money that goes to fuel climate change "doubt". Obviously, if people deny climate-change or believe that climate- change is not something we can do something about or if they do not vaccinate their kids, it IS a threat to future generations!
Someone once asked "if ignorance is bliss, why are so many people unhappy?" This is too harsh. Just as there are two types of false information, there are also two types of ignorance: innocent and willful. Innocent ignorance simply means that the person believes false information. This is forgivable and curable if the person has an open mind. Willful, ignorance, however, while perhaps sincere, is believing something you WANT to believe in spite of all evidence to the contrary.
From reading recent letters to The Sun, it is difficult to decide which category different writers belong to.
(Scott Cracraft is a citizen, a taxpayer, a veteran, and a resident of Gilford.)

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Pat Buchanan - Toes up in the OK Corral?

The honor of it all aside, Rep. Paul Ryan would do well to decline the speakership of the House. For it is a poisoned chalice that is being offered to him.

The Republican Party is not, as some commentators wail, in "chaos" today. It is in rebellion, in revolt, as it was in the early 1960s when Barry Goldwater's true believers rejected Eisenhower Republicanism and Nelson Rockefeller to nominate the Arizona senator for president.

A similar and bristling hostility to today's establishment has arisen, in the GOP Congress, the country, and the presidential race.

The acrimony attendant to this militants revolt explains why Speaker John Boehner packed it in, singing "Zip-a-Dee-Doo-Dah," and why Donald Trump remains far out in front for the nomination.

Ryan's popularity and pleasant persona are not going to be able to smooth over those divisions. For they are about ideology, and about issues such as free trade and amnesty for people here illegally, where Ryan stands squarely with the establishment and against the revolt.

Many House rebels and Trump supporters look on the hollowing out of America's industrial base as the direct result of trade treaties negotiated for the benefit of transnational corporations, whose profits are contingent on cutting production costs by moving factories out of the USA.

Ryan voted for all of those trade deals. And Ryan voted for fast-track, the unilateral surrender of Congress's power even to amend the trade treaties that Barack Obama brings home.

Should he become speaker, Paul Ryan would have to round up Republican votes for the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal Obama has negotiated. But not only are Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton opposed to TPP, Trump calls it a "disaster" that fails to address the critical issue of "currency manipulation".

The TPP has already been rechristened by Republican rebels as "Obamatrade". If Ryan harbors ambitions to be president, he will steer clear of this coming battle between nationalism and globalism.

As former Speaker Newt Gingrich suggests, a Speaker Ryan would be embattled as soon as he took up the gavel: "It's easy to get 218 on the first vote, and then you get to keep the government open through a continuing resolution, and then you get to the debt ceiling, and, if you're not careful, by Christmas you resemble John Boehner."

On the issues of mass immigration and illegal immigration that have roiled the Republican race, Ryan is regarded as an open-borders man. Says Rosemary Jenks of NumbersUSA, which is fighting to halt the invasion: "He (Ryan) has been ... pro-amnesty, pro-mass immigration, pro-replacing American workers with foreign workers ... all of his career."

In the early 1960s, the Goldwaterites demanded "A Choice, Not an Echo" in the title of Phyllis Schlafly's best-seller, an updated version of which is now in print. Those conservatives did not want to compromise with their adversaries in the Republican establishment or Democratic Party. They did not want to work together. They wanted to change policy. They wanted to change the direction of the country.

Backing the Freedom Caucus in the House and the "outsiders" in the GOP presidential race are men and women of a similar mindset, who have been recognized and re-identified by the National Journal's John Judis. They are the Middle Americans Radicals, the "MARS." Their temperament is that of their forebears in the '60s and '90s, but their issues are today's. Patriotic and nationalistic, they cherish the country they grew up in and do not want it changed by mass migration. They want illegal immigrants sent back. On whether a devout Muslim should be president, they are with Dr. Ben Carson.

When Trump says, "We never win anymore," that resonates to these folks. They see 21st-century America as a nation that cannot win its wars, or secure its borders, or build an infrastructure of roads, bridges, rails and airports to match those rising in other countries.

Moreover, the spirit of revolt in the GOP, indeed, in both parties today, is not confined to the USA. It is roiling Europe. In Britain, France, Spain, Italy and Belgium, nationalism is tearing at the seams of nations. Secession from the EU appears to be an idea whose time is coming.

Popular resistance to the dictates of Brussels and Angela Merkel's Berlin, and to mass migration from the Middle East and Africa that threatens to swamp the smallest continent, are familiar to the Americans of 2015 as well.

Paul Ryan is not going to be able to unite a House Republican caucus that is splitting on issues like this. As chairman of the House Committee on Ways & Means, he is better off working on supply-side tax cuts.

After the GOP capture of the House in 2010, Ryan, with new Majority Leader Eric Cantor and Majority Whip Kevin McCarthy, wrote a book about what they were going to do, titled, "Young Guns". "Young Guns" Cantor and McCarthy are now lying toes up in the OK Corral, and if Paul Ryan becomes speaker, he will end up the same way.

(Syndicated columnist Pat Buchanan has been a senior advisor to three presidents, twice a candidate for the Republican presidential nomination and the presidential nominee of the Reform Party in 2000. He won the New Hampshire Republican Primary in 1996.)


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Michael Barone - Dogs that aren't barking

Sherlock Holmes famously solved the mystery of the Silver Blaze by noting the dog that didn't bark in the night. It strikes me that in this wild and woolly campaign cycle there have been numerous dogs not barking in the night, or in the daytime either.

Start with the race for the Democratic nomination, which has not unrolled as predicted. Every observer knows Hillary Clinton's numbers have been falling and Bernie Sanders' numbers have been rising, leading her in Iowa and New Hampshire. Every observer is waiting to see if Joe Biden will run, perhaps in time for the Democrats' first debate two weeks from now.

But the other declared candidates have gone nowhere. It's perhaps not surprising in the cases of the maverick Jim Webb and the former Republican Lincoln Chafee. But Martin O'Malley, former Baltimore mayor and Maryland governor, with a pleasant demeanor and a solid liberal record, is the sort of candidate who would have a serious Democratic contender in cycles past.

He's been out on the trail, but the latest NBC/Wall Street Journal, Quinnipiac and CBS/New York Times polls put him at 0 percent. The pollsters are having a hard time finding anyone who backs him.

Cynical conclusion: in a party consumed with identity politics, there are constituencies for a woman and a self-proclaimed socialist, but not for a cisgender white male, even one who increased spending and effectively supported same-sex marriage. Sympathetic explanation: Democratic voters are attracted to longtime champions of identity politics and uninterested in new faces.

In contrast, on the Republican side, even in a field of 15 candidates, almost all have some perceptible support. But past performance is not proving a guide to current results.

Rand Paul, for example, was expected to at least match the showing of his father Ron Paul, who got at least 10 percent (rounded off) in 29 primaries in 2012. But the younger Paul's domesticated libertarianism and non-interventionist foreign policy is attracting only 2 percent nationally and 4 percent in Iowa and New Hampshire.

Cynical conclusion: Ron Paul's tattooed and dope-smoking fans aren't interested in a domesticated version. Sympathetic explanation: Paul's anti-interventionism lost its appeal when ISIS started beheading Americans.

Iowa Republicans are also showing little enthusiasm for the candidates who finished first in their 2008 and 2012 caucuses. Mike Huckabee is polling at 4 percent there, Rick Santorum at 2 percent. They aren't duplicating their previous appeal to evangelical Protestants, who have been a bigger proportion of turnout in Iowa than any other non-Southern Republican contest.

Cynical conclusion: Religious conservatives don't stay bought. Sympathetic explanation: Religious conservatives look for candidates who share their values, but don't stick with those who proved incapable of winning nominations.

Of course, one might also say that these Republicans are just being overshadowed, maybe temporarily, by outsiders who haven't held political office — Donald Trump especially, and also Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina. The race is far from over; maybe they'll do better later on. And maybe Martin O'Malley will catch on, too — although when pollsters take Joe Biden off their list of candidates, he currently rises from 0 to 1 percent.

The dogs that aren't barking tell two different stories about the parties. Democrats, who like to think of themselves as open to new ideas, are sticking with old ideas and causes. Republicans, who used to fall predictably in line, are off on a wild fling.

There's another dog that isn't barking as well, on the issues front. House Republican rebels may have pushed Speaker John Boehner out, but, as the Wall Street Journal editorial page notes, federal spending during — and because of — Boehner's leadership has been essentially flat for four years, the only time that's happened since World War II. It fell from 24 percent of gross domestic product in 2009 to 20 percent in 2014.

What's interesting here is that no one seems to care. Republican rebels don't, and Democrats who push for more spending behind the scenes aren't making a public fuss about it. It's reminiscent of Britain, where the Conservative-led government cut nearly 1 million public sector jobs in five years. But Labour never raised the issue in this year's campaign and Conservatives gained seats.

Cynical conclusion: No one really misses anything when government spending is cut. Sympathetic explanation: In any large organization there is always room for squeezing out unneeded blubber. That non-barking dog may be something to keep in mind as our campaign continues.

(Syndicated columnist Michael Barone is senior political analyst for The Washington Examiner, is a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, a Fox News Channel contributor and co-author of The Almanac of American Politics.)

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