In Republican circles there is near certainty that a one of the newly elected 14 GOP state senators will end up running for governor.
There are a lot of eyes on Senate Majority Leader Jeb Bradley to go for it. But, of course, Senate President Chuck Morse has told friends over the years he would like the state's top job. Then there is the case of state Sen. Andy Sanborn, who would all but be running already if he were not dealing with some recent health issues.
Which of one the three, or maybe someone else in the Senate, ends up putting their bid forward in two years will depend on a lot of factors. However, one major and unexplored factor in figuring out who can put together a plausible path to victory may actually be Bill O'Brien.
To be sure, there are other Republicans looking at a run for governor. The GOP nominee this year, Walt Havenstein, is trying to keep his name out there. Executive Councilor Chris Sununu is also looking at running.
Last week, O'Brien was the Republican choice to return as house speaker. While he narrowly won that contest among Republicans, he is expected to be officially elected by the entire House on Dec. 3.
There are already a lot of questions about O'Brien's tone and priorities for the next two years, but where the nuances will really matter is in his relationship with the state Senate.
When he last served as speaker in 2011-2012 O'Brien clashed with the Republican majority in the state Senate as much as he did with Democratic Gov. John Lynch.
O'Brien's fights with the Senate then usually had the same dynamic: the House had a conservative position and the Senate had a moderate position. Suddenly senators who thought they were very conservative were suddenly perceived not to be that way among the base.
Bradley and Morse, who are the Republican leadership, are carefully watching O'Brien. If either of them ran for governor they would most surely face a Republican primary challenge of some sort. If O'Brien goes full-on conservative by backing bills that would never be signed into law, Bradley and Morse will face decision after decision to either go along and please the Republican base or potentially hurt themselves in a general election should they get that far.
There is already one major issue where the Senate and O'Brien will have to work out a major disagreement: Medicaid expansion. Bradley and Morse crafted the current law, and O'Brien vehemently disagrees with it.
Both parties can decide to work out some agreement in private or if not do it in public.
Then there is the case of Sanborn. Since he is not in leadership and since Republicans have an cushion going from a 13-11 majority to a 14-10, Sanborn could return to the Senate willing to be the odd man out if it means good politics.
He surprised some by voting for the state budget last session meaning that it passed 24-0. This time around he could be O'Brien's greatest supporter in the Senate and undercut his own Senate leadership.
How O'Brien decides to play the next two years, and how certain Republican Senators decide to play back, could frame who gets to run for governor and who doesn't.
(James Pindell covers politics for WMUR. You can see his breaking news and analysis at WMUR.com/political scoop and on WMUR-TV)
Last Updated on Tuesday, 02 December 2014 10:04
The Christmas holiday gift buying season is here again. Yahoo! Man, time flies! If you are looking for gifts for your hubby, remember this tip; don't buy him a new sweater or socks. A guy generally would rather have any kind of gadget or tool for the shop or yard. Especially, if he is into power tools. He might not use that chainsaw but once every year, but he has got it when he needs it and it can be proudly displayed on the shelf the other 364 days of the year. It's a man thing. Here are a few relatively inexpensive items that might you can give old hubby to help him do the list of projects you might have planned for him.
You'd never think of giving the old man a wheelbarrow for Christmas, but you know, you might have some yard work planned for him in the spring. The Worx Aero cart is actually a pretty cool replacement for the standard wheelbarrow, enough so that maybe you can get away with it. It is also an 8-in-1 all purpose lifter which converts to a dolly and a bag holder for picking up leaves among other things. The design makes it much easier to lift heavy loads than a wheelbarrow and it has tires that never go flat. You can buy one online at Amazon or Home Depot for about $160. They even make a snow plow attachment for about $40.
If you have some painting projects planned after the holidays, a Rockler Mixing Mate Paint lid would make the job a lot cleaner and neater. This ingenious lid makes mixing and pouring paint "as easy and mess free as pouring syrup from a restaurant style dispenser." No more paint down the side of the can, no more gummed up rims, and no more banging the lids back on and splattering paint everywhere! Turn the crank on the top to mix the paint, a spring loaded spout seals tight after each pour, and a pistol grip handle lets you pour the paint easily. The quart size lid is on sale on the Rockler Website for $9.99 and a gallon lid is $19.99.
I've always thought those lamps that you could wear on your head, like the old miner's lights, were kind of dorky. But sometimes you do need both hands free when you're doing something in the dark. So buy him a LED baseball cap and he'll be able to work on your next project until way after dark. You can find them on the net at PantherVision.com for as little as $10. Also check out places like LL Bean and Dick's Sporting Goods. If you want a light on your NE Patriots cap, the MasterVision 1001 % LED light clips right onto the visor. I saw it on Amazon for just over couple of bucks.
A perennial favorite are those plier-like multi tools such as the Leather man Skeletool that you can pick up at many hardware and big box stores for under $40. Seems like tool makers like to have "manly" or catchy names for their tools. How about some Vampliers? These nifty pliers are made to remove stripped, rusted, damaged screws, nuts, and bolts. Available on Amazon.com or VampireTools.com for as little as $26. Hey, I just like the name.
How about going out on a limb with a Ladder Limb? This device is so simple and handy I wish I had thought of it. It was named the best new tool by the DIY Network in 2013. Have you ever been up on a ladder and need another hand to hold something? Pretty likely! This tapered rubberized "limb" inserts into the hollow rung of any ladder and the protruding end has a spring clasp on it to hold your tool bag or paint can. Obviously, this limb can be put into the left or right side at any height making it very versatile. You have no idea how many times I have had to climb down the ladder to retrieve something I dropped! No more! Available at LadderLimbusa.com or Amazon.com for just
Please feel free to visit www.lakesregionhome.com to learn more about the Lakes Region real estate market and comment on this article and others.
Roy Sanborn is a realtor at Four Seasons Sotheby's International Realty and can be reached at 603-677-7012.
Last Updated on Wednesday, 31 December 1969 07:00
"It is ordained in the eternal constitution of things, that men of intemperate minds cannot be free. Their passions forge their fetters."
Edmund Burke's insight returned to mind while watching cable news coverage of the rampage in Ferguson, Missouri, after St. Louis County Prosecutor Robert McCulloch announced that officer Darren Wilson would not be indicted in the shooting death of Michael Brown.
The rioting, looting, arson and gunfire that began after McCulloch relayed the grand jury's decision, a decision long predicted and anticipated, revealed the unspoken truth about Ferguson.
The problem in Ferguson is not the 53-man police department. The problem is the hoodlum element those Ferguson cops have to police, who, Monday night, burned and pillaged the stores on the main streets of their own community.
The police were portraits in restraint as they were cursed and showered with rocks, bottles and Molotov cocktails. If the police were at fault at all, it was in their refusal to use the necessary force to stop a rampaging mob that destroyed the lives and livelihoods of honest businessmen and women of Ferguson.
Many will not be able to rebuild their stores. Many will not be able to get insurance. Many will give up and move away, the investment of a lifetime lost in a night of thuggery.
One recalls that the Detroit riot of 1967 was the beginning of the end of Motown. And it was decades before D.C. fully recovered from the riot and arson that followed the assassination of Dr. King.
In the wake of the Ferguson riot, some seek absolution for the rioters by redistributing responsibility to police and prosecutor. Why, they demand, did McCulloch wait until 8 p.m., St. Louis time, to report the grand jury findings? Why did he wait until after dark?
Well, perhaps it was to give time for kids to get home from school and off the playgrounds, for businesses to close and shutter down, for rush hour to end. Hoodlums from Ferguson earlier stormed onto I-70 and shut down the Interstate — the way home for tens of thousands of St. Louisans.
Whatever reason McCulloch had for waiting until 8 p.m. does not explain or excuse the rampant criminality that lasted until midnight.
"No justice, no peace!" has been a howl of the protesters. What they mean is strikingly clear: Michael Brown, one of us, is dead. Therefore, this cop, Darren Wilson, must go on trial for his life.
But this is not justice in America. We have a legal process to determine who was in the right and who in the wrong, and whether a crime has been committed by a policeman in the use of deadly force.
"No justice, no peace" is an encapsulation of the lex talionis, an eye for an eye. Do we really want to go back to race-based lynch law?
That 10 o'clock split screen of Obama in the White House briefing room calling for peaceful protest and greater efforts by police to understand "communities of color", side by side with graphic video of mob mayhem in Ferguson, tells a sad truth. America's election of a black president has not closed and, for some, has not even narrowed the racial divide.
We are now half a century on from the Civil Rights Act of 1964. African-Americans have risen out of poverty and the working class to become successes as actors, artists, athletes, executives, politicians, TV anchors, journalists, scholars, generals, authors, etc. But if the hate we saw on the streets of Ferguson, and heard from many voices on cable Monday night, are a reflection of sentiment in the black community, the racial divide in some parts of America is as great as ever. Indeed, we may be slipping backwards.
"Where is the black leadership now?" asks Juan Williams of Fox News. Indeed, where?
Unfortunately, many are openly pandering to the crowd, denouncing the prosecutor, denouncing the grand jury, denouncing the Ferguson cops, but tongue-tied when it come to denouncing the thuggery of black youth on the streets of Ferguson.
The morning after the riot in Ferguson, President Cornell William Brooks of the NAACP called the grand jury decision not to indict Wilson "salt in the wound of a brutal injustice. ... The people in this community and across the country are ... saddened and outraged."
Where, from the president on down, do we hear any thunderous condemnation of what went on in Ferguson Monday night and of those responsible, coupled with a clarion call for the restoration of law and order in Ferguson, as an essential precondition of any civilized society?
Here is Eric Holder's venture into moral equivalency when the grand jury decision came down:
"It does not honor (Michael Brown's) memory to engage in violence or looting. In the coming days it will likewise be important for local law enforcement authorities to respect the rights of demonstrators, and deescalate tension by avoiding extreme displays — and uses — of force."
Now there's a lion of the law.
(Syndicated columnist Pat Buchanan has been a senior advisor to three presidents, twice a candidate for the Republican presidential nomination and the presidential nominee of the Reform Party in 2000. He won the New Hampshire Republican Primary in 1996.)
Last Updated on Wednesday, 31 December 1969 07:00
The moment New Hampshire House Republicans picked Bill O'Brien to be the next House speaker there were a number of questions being asked in Concord as to what it all means to governing, what it means to Kelly Ayotte's re-election campaign and what it means to the state's political landscape in general.
But all those questions could be answered by a more basic one that we will know in the next few weeks: who is O'Brien in 2014.
Everyone in New Hampshire politics knows who he was when he was first elected speaker in 2010. He was the biggest crown of the Tea Party movement. He had a super-majority in the House. He had power and, gosh darn it, he was going to use it. While most New Hampshire House speakers are basically anonymous players outside of Concord, O'Brien in 2010 became probably the most well-known and most polarizing speaker in a century. The fact that he was exiled to back-bencher status after losing the majority in 2012, but was still in Democratic press releases in 2014, says something about the impact he left.
But after failing to win re-election as speaker in 2012 and after stunted run for Congress in 2014, who exactly is this O'Brien in 2014?
He tells people that he is both the same guy he has always been while at the same time he has learned lessons from his previous tenure as speaker. He says he will be "a kinder, gentler" speaker and talks about being more inclusive.
Providing a softer tone was essentially the argument of the Gene Chandler, the Bartlett Republican, O'Brien defeated on Tuesday. O'Brien defeated Chandler 116-112 in a closed door Republican meeting.
A lot these "kinder" statements from O'Brien could be posturing and a lot of it could be the legislative reality that he doesn't have near size of the Republican caucus than he did last time.
Still the kind of O'Brien that emerges will tell a lot about the politics we will have next year.
For example, there should be no doubt that Democratic Gov. Maggie Hassan will want to use O'Brien as a political foil to blame everything on. Is unemployment up or the New England Patriots not in the Super Bowl? Well, if Bill O'Brien weren't house speaker who knows if outcomes would be different, Hassan could contend.
If Hassan does decide to take on Ayotte for U.S. Senate in 2016, who gets blamed in Concord for bad things will really matter. And, generally, the person who wins the blame game is the person who has earned the benefit of the doubt with everyday voters.
Heading into another term, O'Brien doesn't have that benefit of the doubt, given where his poll numbers have been lately. But a new term as speaker will give him a chance to re-brand himself if he chooses.
If and how he does that will be among the most interesting of subplots in the coming legislative session.
(James Pindell covers politics for WMUR. You can see his breaking news and analysis WMUR.com/politicalscoop and on WMUR-TV.)
Last Updated on Wednesday, 31 December 1969 07:00
Just as many ultraconservatives often label as Marxist those who may simply be liberal or progressive, there is also a tendency for liberal and progressives to call conservatives "fascists." Of course, there are even conservatives who like to compare liberals, like President Obama to fascists like Hitler or Mussolini. None of this is fair. Fascism is a very specific type of right-wing socio-political movement.
Not all conservatives, even extreme conservatives, can be called fascist. However, the Tea Party and similar movements which have infiltrated even traditionally moderate state Republican parties often possess certain characteristics that make may make them the closest thing we have seen to an American fascist movement in decades.
Fascism is not conservatism or "top-down" authoritarianism as in military dictatorships. Indeed, as was the case in Italy and Germany, it starts as a mass, "grass roots," or even "democratic" movement of middle class and even working people who are afraid, disaffected, and insecure, quite often for very legitimate reasons. But, propagandists are able to use this disaffection to turn people away from the real reasons for their problems to finding convenient scapegoats.
These scapegoats can vary. In the case of the Italians, it was communists and those who were thought to be destroying "traditional Italian values." For the Germans, it was the communists and the Jews as well as those promoting "social decadence." In the case of the Tea Party it may be the poor, educators, unions, liberals, immigrants, or those who challenge "traditional American Christian family values." Fascists also use patriotism and the fear of outside threats while accusing opponents of not being "true" Germans, Italians, or Americans.
Propaganda is also important. The best type of propaganda is that which contains half-truths that can be twisted. Dr. Joseph Goebbels, Hitler's propaganda minister, believed in the "Big Lie." The Germans at the time were some of the best-educated people in the world. Telling them a lot of little lies would not work. So they were told big lies over and over by people who were assumed to know what they were talking about.
Big lies work because even intelligent people will think that one would not make such outrageous statements (e.g. the Jews were responsible for Germany's problems) unless they were really true! Likewise, the Tea Party and its propagandists have been able to convince a significant percentage of the American people that, in spite of all evidence to the contrary, Obama is not a U.S. citizen, he is a radical Muslim, or he plans "death panels" for the elderly.
Fascist movements can use the democratic political process. For instance, in Germany, Nazis were elected to the German parliament long before Hitler became chancellor. There, they created legislative gridlock unless they got their way. Sound familiar?
But, as successful as these tactics can be, what such a mass movement needs is support from a country's entrenched "power elite." Mussolini received the support of the church in Italy. Hitler would not have come to power without the support of Germany's corporate leaders and the German "military-industrial complex." In fact, Mussolini once defined fascism as the melding of corporate and government power.
A lot of Tea Party propaganda serves the interests of our own power elite while promoting the movement as a middle class movement. Powerful corporations fund PACs and "think tanks" that put out propaganda swallowed by this movement. Even formerly "moderate" Republicans are cowed by them and consider them their "base." There was a time when Senator McCain actually sounded moderate and even supported health care reform until he had to cater to this base and select a very extreme and incompetent running mate. And, conservative religious bodies often support them because they promote conservative "Christian" values.
No, the Tea Party has not yet taken to extreme acts of violence. But, why is the movement arming itself? I hope I am wrong but as the old saying goes, if it looks like a duck and quacks like a duck, then it may well be a duck.
(Scott is a U.S. citizen, taxpayer, veteran, and resident of Gilford)
Last Updated on Wednesday, 31 December 1969 07:00