Pat Buchanan - How Trump wins the debate

On one of my first trips to New Hampshire in 1991, to challenge President George H. W. Bush, I ran into Sen. Eugene McCarthy. He was returning to the scene of his '68 triumph, when he had inflicted the first crippling wound on Lyndon Johnson.

"Pat, you don't have to win up here, you know," he assured me. "All you have to do is beat the point spread."

"Beat the point spread" is a good description of what Donald Trump has to do in Monday night's debate. With only a year in national politics, he does not have to show a mastery of foreign and domestic policy details. Rather, he has to do what John F. Kennedy did in 1960, and what Ronald Reagan did in 1980.

He has to meet and exceed expectations, which are not terribly high. He has to convince a plurality of voters, who seem prepared to vote for him, that he's not a terrible risk, and that he will be a president of whom they can be proud. He has to show the country a Trump that contradicts the caricature created by those who dominate our politics, culture and press.

The Trump on stage at Hofstra University will have 90 minutes to show that the malicious cartoon of Donald Trump is a libelous lie. He can do it, for he did it at the Mexico City press conference with President Pena Nieto where he surprised his allies and stunned his adversaries.

Recall. Kennedy and Reagan, too, came into their debates with a crucial slice of the electorate undecided but ready to vote for them if each could relieve the voters' anxieties about his being within reach of the button to launch a nuclear war.

Kennedy won the first debate, not because he offered more convincing arguments or more details on the issues, but because he appeared more lucid, likable and charismatic, more mature than folks had thought. And he seemed to point to a brighter, more challenging future for which the country was prepared after Ike. After that first debate, Americans could see JFK sitting in the Oval Office.

Reagan won his debate with Carter because his sunny disposition and demeanor and his "There you go again!" airy dismissal of Carter's nit-picking contradicted the malevolent media-created caricatures of the Gipper as a dangerous primitive or an amiable dunce.

Even George W. Bush, who, according to most judges, did not win a single debate against Al Gore or John Kerry, came off as a levelheaded fellow who was more relatable than the inventor of the internet or the windsurfer of Cape Cod.

The winner of presidential debates is not the one who compiles the most debating points. It is the one whom the audience decides they like, and can be comfortable taking a chance on.

Trump has the same imperative and same opportunity as JFK and Reagan. For the anticipated audience, of Super Bowl size, will be there to see him, not her. He is the challenger who fills up the sports arenas with the tens and scores of thousands, not Hillary Clinton.

If she were debating John Kasich or Jeb Bush, neither the viewing audience nor the title-fight excitement of Monday night would be there. Specifically, what does Trump need to do? He needs to show that he can be presidential. He needs to speak with confidence, but not cockiness, and to deal with Clinton's attacks directly, but with dignity and not disrespect. And humor always helps.

Clinton has a more difficult assignment.

America knows she knows the issues. But two-thirds of the country does not believe her to be honest or trustworthy. As her small crowds show, she sets no one on fire. Blacks, Hispanics and millenials who invested high hopes in Barack Obama seem to have no great hopes for her. She has no bold agenda, no New Deal or New Frontier.

"Why aren't I 50 points ahead?" wailed Hillary Clinton this week.

The answer is simple. America has seen enough of her and has no great desire to see any more; and she cannot change an impression hardened over 25 years — in 90 minutes.

But the country will accept her, if the only alternative is the Trump of the mainstream media's portrayal. Hence, the strategy of the Democratic Party for the next seven weeks is obvious: trash Trump, take him down, make him intolerable, and we win.

No matter how she performs though, Donald Trump can win the debate, for he is the one over whom the question marks hang. But he is also the one who can dissipate and destroy them with a presidential performance.

In that sense, this debate and this election are Trump's to win.

(Syndicated columnist Pat Buchanan has been a senior advisor to three presidents, twice a candidate for the Republican presidential nomination and the presidential nominee of the Reform Party in 2000. He won the New Hampshire Republican Primary in 1996.)

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Laconia's Hidden Gems on Lake Winnisquam

 

By FRANK ROCHE
Over the years, I have seen many vacationers, second-home owners and tourists drive along Union Avenue (Route 3) through Laconia's major artery and never really see some of the great housing opportunities and neighborhoods that exist along the easterly shore of Lake Winnisquam, west of Union Avenue (Route 3). They drive past the box stores in Tilton and approach Laconia's downtown and travel through a myriad of franchise restaurants along Paugus Bay; however, many of them do not realize that there is a real hidden secret. There are two wonderful neighborhoods, which enjoy large private association beaches on Lake Winnisquam. Lake Winnisquam is New Hampshire's third-largest lake. It includes approximately 4,264 acres of pristine water and is roughly 1/10th of the size of Lake Winnipesaukee in surface area. It is a deep lake, with a maximum depth of 154 feet and an average depth of 52 feet. The lake shoreline is 28 miles long, measuring 5.4 miles long and approximately 1.7 miles wide. There are five islands on Lake Winnisquam and five towns enjoy shore frontage.
On the southerly end of Shore Drive in Laconia, there is a wonderful residential neighborhood with homes fronting on Shore Drive and neighboring streets that belong to the Lakewood Beach Association on Lake Winnisquam. Rarely do you find a natural beach with a breathtaking setting like this one. The association beach includes roughly 1,280 feet of sandy shorefront on 4.65 acres and is set back nicely from the road. All of the members of this association in the neighborhood have deeded beach rights to this wonderful amenity. It rivals small state parks, such as Ellacoya State Park or Wellington State Park, on a smaller scale. The huge natural sandy beach is enjoyed by all residents, where they gather for family parties, barbecues, ice cream socials and even a movie night at dusk – what a great family neighborhood, where children can make lasting friendships and memories and the parents can interact socially with their neighbors. The annual dues are only $65 per year, which is very minimal compared to other associations in the Lakes Region and not only can you use the beach, but there are spots for your canoes or kayaks. All of the homes include city water and sewer.
Just up the road, there is another wonderful water access association. The Wildwood Shores Association is a similar residential community and includes deeded beach rights to Wildwood Shores Beach, a 345-foot natural sandy beach on 1.61 acres with men's and ladies' bath houses, kayak racks, a boat launch and some boat moorings. Around the corner they have tennis courts for residents. The Wildwood Village Condominium is spread out throughout the neighborhood with an attractive pond. All of these homes include City Water and Sewer. The annual dues are only $90 per year.
Throughout both communities, there is a wonderful mix of architectural designs to choose from, from capes to ranches, garrisons, colonials and splits – there is something for everyone. Also, there is a wonderful selection of custom waterfront homes along Shore Drive. At the beginning of my real estate career, in the late 1970s, the two neighborhoods were primarily used by full time residents, however, over the years I have seen a big transition. Many second-home owners have discovered the natural beauty of the area, with its gorgeous beaches and close proximity to downtown Laconia, shopping, restaurants and golf courses. Likewise, both neighborhoods are within 15 minutes to Gunstock. In summary, there is a wonderful mix of year-round residents, semi-retired couples and second-home owners.
When you compare the selling prices of these water access homes to other water access communities around the Lakes Region, you will find the prices are very attractive. During the last three years, the average selling price has ranged from $244,312 to $247,045 – a bargain when you consider that they have deeded private waterfront access to enjoy.
Here is a brief synopsis of the average selling prices over the last three years:
9/21/15-9/21/16
Eight water access home sales with an average sales price of $244,312.
Four condo sales with an average sales price of $194,850.
One waterfront home sold for $810,000.
9/21/14-9/20/15
Eleven water access home sales with an average sales price of $247,045.
One condo sold for $163,000.
One waterfront home sold for $875,000.
9/21/13-9/20/14
Six water access home sales with an average sales price of $245,532.
Three condo sales with an average sales price of $148,166.
Two waterfront home sales with an average sales price of $802,500.
Overall from what you can see above, the pricing has stayed very consistent and the families that have purchased in these wonderful neighborhoods have made a solid investment with excellent square footage, many already upgraded and a great amenity package. Many of the homes have been upgraded and added to over the years. The landscaping and overall setting creates real value going into the future. For those of you who are considering a water access property, semi-retirement home or second home, this is a great area consider. Please contact you favorite realtor for more information and product choices available at this time. It has always been one of Roche Realty Group's best sellers! People are truly amazed when they get down there are able to see these communities for themselves!

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Lakes Region Hiking — Two young boys climb Katahdin and meet Iron Will

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Zack, Maggie, Meghan, Rob, and Allan at Chimney Pond and the Mt. Katahdin Massif in the background

By Gordon DuBois

"Boys, we need to keep moving quickly, the clouds are lowering and the winds are picking up. We're the only ones left on the mountain now." It was nearly 2:30 and our turnaround time was 3 p.m. We couldn't see the summit of Baxter Peak, which sits on a shoulder of Mount Katahdin. The summits were enshrouded with clouds. The weather was changing quickly as it often does in the mountains of northern Maine. I was leading two young boy,s Allan, 13, and Zack, 11, LaPlume, on their first hike to a mountain summit. They scrambled along the rock-strewn trail following the small cairns that marked the path. Their excitement to make the summit was infectious and I scurried along behind trying to keep up. Several times I had to yell at them to hold up and wait, as I was losing sight of them in the thick fog. We forged ahead into a biting wind and made the summit by 3. When we reached the idyllic Baxter Peak sign, we were met by 3 AT thru hikers who were reveling in their finish of the AT. We all celebrated together, Allan and Zack on the conquest of Baxter Peak and the thru hikers on the finish of their 2,184 mile journey from Springer Mountain, Georgia.

When I first met Allan and Zack several years ago they continually pleaded with me to take them hiking. So this past spring I made plans with my daughter Meghan and her husband Rob to take their nephews to Baxter State Park to climb Katahdin's Baxter Peak. Two weeks ago our plans came to fruition. We drove to Millinocket, Maine, the gateway to Baxter State Park. We passed the abandoned, ghost-like paper mills that once employed hundreds of mill workers. The streets of the once proud and lively city looked desolate as we made our way to the entrance of the park at Togue Pond Gate. We pulled into our campsite at Roaring Brook where we would begin our hike the next day.

The following day we hiked four miles into Chimney Pond with Uncle Rob, Aunt Meghan and Maggie, their 2-year-old daughter. Chimney Pond is one of the most picturesque places in all the northeast. It sits at the base of a cirque that is one of six on the "Great Mountain." After eating lunch and admiring the views from the pond, Allan, Zack and I began our climb on the Saddle Trail, which climbs steeply up the side of the mountain. Meghan, Rob and Maggie returned to our campsite at Roaring Brook and later in the day they were fortunate enough to observe a moose with her calf wading in Sandy Stream Pond.

Baxter State Park encompasses 209,644 acres of wilderness and is considered Maine's largest public trust. In 1931 Percival Baxter, Governor of Maine, began his donation of the park land to the people of Maine. The park now has 10 campgrounds, 225-plus miles of hiking trails and dozens of backcountry sites. Reservations are generally needed to reserve a campsite, lean-to, bunk house or cabin. If you are interested in camping in the park you can contact the park authority at 207-723-5140 or log onto their website at www.baxterstatepark.org.
I have hiked much of the park and summited all of its highest mountains, as well as summiting Baxter Peak seven times, including a winter summit this year. In my opinion Baxter Sate Park provides a wilderness experience that cannot be matched in any other area of the east.

Climbing steeply up the Saddle Trail, Allan suddenly whispered to me, "I think I see the woman who is paralyzed. I saw her on TV." When we overtook this hiker, she was indeed the hiking celebrity Allan had seen on television. She was resting on a rock with a photo-journalist from the Boston Globe documenting her climb to Baxter Peak. She introduced herself as Stacey Kozel, a.k.a. "Iron Will". Stacy is attempting to thru hike the AT and has only Maine, New Hampshire and parts of Vermont left to complete the entire, 2,185 miles of trail. What is amazing about Stacy is her will and determination in this endeavor. At age 19 she was diagnosed with Lupus, an autoimmune disorder that attacked her central nervous system. At one point Stacy lost control of all her extremities and was hospitalized for several months. She slowly regained the use of her arms and upper body, but her legs never recovered. She wanted desperately to walk again and with unflinching determination she found a computerized leg brace called the Ottobock C-Brace. She explained that the strange looking contraption strapped to her leg contains a microprocessor which receives information from her ankles and adjusts a hydraulic system located at her knees to move her legs. "It does the walking for me," Stacey exclaimed.

We wanted to spend more time with this remarkable woman, but we had to push on if we were going to reach the summit before the incoming storm overtook us. Allan and Zack had little trouble maneuvering along the scree and rocks of the upper slide. Soon we were at the top of the ridge that connects Hamlin and Baxter Peaks. As we began the final leg of our quest, the fog thickened and we noticed a line of hikers coming down off the mountain. Henry David Thoreau referred to Katahdin as a "cloud factory." Was this a signal that we should turn back? Zack and Allan had waited a long time to climb Katahdin and they were not about to turn back. We forged on, pushing our way against a strong wind. As a light rain began to fall we donned an extra layer, put our heads down and pushed on, reaching the summit for our short celebration. We knew we couldn't stay long. The weather was deteriorating and the cloud cover was lowering to about 3,000 feet.

We hurried along the trail, picking our way down to the Saddle Trail slide and back to Chimney Pond, eventually returning to Roaring Brook before dark. On our way down, just below the slide, we once again met up with Stacey Kozel, still working her way up the mountain. The batteries in her assistive device were low and she was making very slow progress in her climb. We again stopped to chat, snap a few pictures and then set off down the mountain. We never found out if she made the summit to continue her journey on the AT. But meeting her and learning of her story, we knew she would finish her quest in competing the AT. If you are interested in learning about Stacy and her journey you can follow her on her Facebook Page.

When we returned to our campsite, just as we were being overtaken by darkness, we spied the campfire. Rob and Meghan had dinner waiting for us. After dinner we sat around the campfire and I had a chance to tell a couple stories from Maine folklore: The Windigo and Three Fingered Willey. We also had a visit from a park ranger who told us about the history of the park and the new National Monument, Katahdin Woods and Waters National Monument. It's comprised of 87,600 acres of wilderness located just east of Baxter Park, donated by Roxanne Quimby, former co-founder and owner of Bert's Bees cosmetics. Perhaps more adventures are waiting for us in this newest of parks, now managed by the National Park Service.

As the fire was dying down we made plans to climb South Turner Mountain the following day. We wondered about Iron Will. Did she make it to the summit? We marveled at her courage and determination. We hoped she was safe on the mountain, knowing that she was not about to turn around in her quest to summit Baxter. Allan and Zack, who had never hiked before, were excited about tomorrow and dashed off to their tent to get some sleep before their next hike. I was equally excited in anticipation of another climb. I hope that Allan and Zack will continue to find joy and adventure in the mountains of the northeast, just as I have for many years.

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Allan and Stacy Kozel (aka Iron Will).

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Jim Hightower - He's a Trumpist, not a populist

To many hard-working people, this is a time of economic uncertainty. Thus, it is important to point out that America's superrich are intentionally and brazenly knocking down the middle class and poor to further enrich themselves. They are aided by clueless, corrupt politicians who don't care about the future of ordinary Americans or of America itself. In these hard times, along comes Donald J. Trump, a swaggering billionaire braggart promising greatness by goading working-class white people into mollifying their pain and anxiety by despising those "other people" situated near them on the social-economic ladder.

The media establishment has erroneously put the "populist" crown on Trump, endorsing his absurd assertion that he might be a billionaire, but he's "our" billionaire, fighting for us commoners!

I'm not telling anyone how to vote, and I certainly understand the inclination to grab the biggest stick you can find to whack the bejeezus out of those holding you and your family down. Trump has sold himself as the biggest, baddest stick around, the "outsider" who pummeled Jeb!, Marco, Ted, and the entire Republican establishment.

But I am here to say, don't be a sucker. There's not a single populist muscle in Donnie's whole plutocratic body. He will sell out wage earners, small business people, and anyone else to serve his own needs or whims, as his lifelong record (as opposed to his recent rhetoric) reveals.

Donnie learned from Daddy Fred, who built his son's inherited fortune by milking federal housing programs in the 1940s and '50s, and then — as the landlord of these New York City apartments — flagrantly discriminated against black applicants. One of Fred's tenants was Woody Guthrie, who was so appalled, he wrote about Trump's greed and racism. Donnie has enhanced his fortune by emulating his father's business ethics, including engaging in wage theft, outsourcing his clothing line and other brand-name products to such low-wage countries as China and Vietnam, and underpaying undocumented immigrants engaged in dangerous construction work on his luxury projects. Also, as of this summer, Trump or his companies were defendants in 1,300 lawsuits — many of which were over stiffing cabinet makers, plumbers and other small business suppliers.

Candidate Trump grandiosely says he'll lift up the middle class, but his proposed economic policies would do the opposite by expanding the GOP's old anti-labor agenda: giving massive new tax cuts to corporations and the rich, slashing public spending on programs that working families rely on, and embracing the laissez-faire ideological claptrap that Tea Party Republicans mindlessly repeat in their ceaseless efforts to drive down wages. On the minimum wage, he's taken more positions than you'll find in the "Kama Sutra." First, he said $7.25 an hour was already too much; then he called for abolishing the wage floor entirely; then he mused that he might be open to an increase (but certainly not the $15-an-hour living wage that worker activists are fighting for). Even Trump's "rock-solid" opposition to NAFTA, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, and other trade scams now looks to be a political bait-and-switch fraud, as indicated by his choice of Indiana Gov. Mike Pence to be his VP and top policy "partner." Pence is a notorious free-trade fanatic who pushed zealously to pass all eight trade deals that came before him while in Congress, and he's been lobbying hard this year for passage of the TPP.

Now, consider whom he's vilifying, mocking and bullying at his rallies and in his tweets. Overwhelmingly, they are terrorized migrants, Mexican immigrants he labels "rapists," black protestors experiencing police brutality, disabled individuals, and so on. This pampered son of privilege wants America's hard-hit, angry working people to elect him because he demonstrates the "courage" to be politically incorrect by kicking the poor, the powerless, and the marginalized. Since he's willing to do that, how long will it take him to throw those workers into the ditch, too?

Some might see Trump as a brilliant, can-do corporate chieftain (though his multiple bankruptcies among other business disasters make that assessment doubtful). Or they might be tempted to cast a protest vote to throw the political class into disarray. But people should consider the consequences and not fool themselves into thinking Trump's a populist who'll be on our side. In his heart, mind, and whole being, the central political truth about Trump is that he's foremost a Trumpist — of, by and for himself.

(Jim Hightower has been called American's most popular populist. The radio commentator and former Texas Commissioner of Agriculture is author of seven books, including "There's Nothing In the Middle of Road but Yellow Stripes and Dead Armadillos" and his new work, "Swim Against the Current: Even Dead Fish Can Go With The Flow".)

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Sanborn — Lakes Region Residential Sales Report for Aug., 2016

There were 140 single-family residential home sales in August in the 12 Lakes Region communities covered by this report. The average sales price came in at $305,575 and the median price point was $228,500. Last August, there were 130 transactions at an average price of $364,503 and a median sale price point of $226,050. The median price point is the midway point of all the houses sold during the month meaning half of the houses sold last month were above $228,500 and half sold below that price.

So what could you get for $228,500? Actually, quite a lot it seems. Take, for example, the property at 588 New Hampton Road in Sanbornton, which sold for $228,000. This 1800-vintage, 3,100 square-foot, four-bedroom, two-bath colonial looks pretty nice. It has large rooms with vintage charm, a bright country kitchen with a center island and cook top, a living room with some nice built-in bookcases and wide pine floors, a dining room with the same flooring and a brick fireplace, newer roof, and newer furnace. The house sits on a large landscaped 3-acre lot with fenced yard. It was originally listed at $249,900, was reduced to $239,900 and sold for $228,000. It is assessed at $259,782. Looks like a lot of house for a reasonable price!

On the entry level end, I couldn't help but notice a three-bedroom, two-bath, 1920s-vintage bungalow at 243 Elm Street in Laconia. This classic home was built when things were built solid. It has lots of character with natural wood work, wainscoting, and hardwood floors. I remembered it because I sold it back in 2001 for $96,000. It was resold in 2004 for $157,000 and in 2005 for $179,533 before going to foreclosure in 2015. It just sold for $99,000 as a bank-owned property which I think was a pretty good deal for someone. Seems like it came full circle.

The highest non-waterfront sale of the month that was at 88 Terrace Hill Road in Gilford. This 5,000-plus square-foot, four-bedroom, three-and-a-half-bath contemporary ranch wasn't on the water but it has that secluded resort feel tucked away in a natural surrounding with perennial gardens, large in-ground pool, extensive decking with a hot tub and fire-pit. It's the kind of place you can relax and chill out. This home has an open floor flan with a bright stylish kitchen with high-end appliances and an adjacent breakfast nook, a formal dining room, a living room with cathedral ceilings and fireplace, a family room, first floor master suite, and lower-level game room with wet bar and fireplace. Yup, just like Club Med! This home was listed at $749,000 and someone decided to go on vacation there in just 8 days for $710,000. Wonder if they need someone to clean the pool?

So far this year there have been 818 single family residential sales in the towns covered by this report. The average sales price thus far this year is $319,082. We are up 17-percent in the total number sales over the 697 posted last year for same period. That's pretty darn good, I'd say. If you are looking to sell your home this is a great time to put it on the market headed into the fall season. While things do tend to slow down over the holidays, buyers are still out there looking for that right property. And, you might just have what they are looking for!

Pl​ease feel free to visit www.lakesregionhome.com to learn more about the Lakes Region real estate market and comment on this article and others. Data compiled using the NEREN MLS system as of Sept. 20, 2016. ​Roy Sanborn is a sales associate at Four Seasons Sotheby's International Realty and can be reached at 603-677-7012

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